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Election
61.21%
2004
66.44%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.57%
-0.23%
+2.16%
+4.34%
-4.24%
-3.49%
+3.57%
-4.72%
-0.47%
+0.75%
-0.92%
+1.99%
2026
-14.10%
-2.99%
-18.46%
+1.89%
-12.96%
+4.26%
-2.04%
+4.17%
-14.00%
--
2025
+11.63%
+4.00%
+5.77%
+43.64%
-6.33%
+21.62%
-17.78%
0.00%
-5.41%
+1.43%
+9.86%
2024
-20.83%
-5.26%
+3.70%
-10.71%
-12.00%
-4.55%
+11.90%
-2.13%
+4.35%
+2.08%
-12.24%
2023
-11.90%
-18.92%
+70.00%
-23.53%
-5.13%
-13.51%
-15.62%
+7.41%
-17.24%
+37.50%
+9.09%
2022
-6.25%
+4.44%
-3.19%
-14.29%
-12.82%
-7.35%
-1.59%
-6.45%
+6.25%
-11.76%
-6.67%
2021
+15.65%
+24.06%
-20.61%
+5.34%
-15.94%
-14.66%
-2.02%
+17.53%
-0.88%
-18.58%
2020
-13.10%
-32.88%
-23.47%
+20.00%
-12.22%
+2.53%
+22.22%
-8.08%
-8.79%
+7.23%
+19.10%
+8.49%
2019
+9.16%
+14.69%
+12.20%
+25.54%
+2.60%
+0.42%
+0.84%
-4.17%
-16.96%
-3.66%
-3.26%
-5.62%
2018
+8.65%
+8.85%
+19.51%
-3.10%
+3.20%
-8.53%
+7.63%
+16.54%
-14.19%
+3.15%
2017
+1.79%
-11.40%
+13.86%
-10.43%
-0.97%
-4.90%
+11.34%
+1.85%
+1.82%
-4.76%
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