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Election
89.14%
2020
90.55%
Probability %
Average return %
-6.94%
+3.06%
-2.37%
-2.67%
+5.91%
+15.40%
+1.43%
+1.00%
-10.02%
-5.97%
+4.93%
-0.10%
2026
-3.70%
+4.86%
+20.66%
-10.08%
-3.91%
-3.52%
-8.64%
-1.26%
0.00%
--
2025
+1.10%
+1.08%
-9.19%
-21.08%
+83.76%
+22.56%
-14.52%
+27.64%
-2.78%
-6.44%
-12.62%
+12.25%
2024
-14.46%
+3.14%
-10.97%
+1.34%
-2.89%
+16.48%
-5.85%
-10.51%
-5.43%
-2.00%
-4.36%
-8.97%
2023
+0.49%
+6.85%
-8.92%
+10.55%
+7.84%
+10.22%
-2.10%
-12.11%
-7.00%
+8.60%
+2.86%
+11.66%
2022
-12.00%
+0.62%
-3.08%
-1.48%
-7.96%
+86.92%
+37.75%
+39.38%
-39.39%
-21.70%
+28.81%
-13.31%
2021
-13.74%
+8.47%
+0.94%
-9.13%
-5.28%
+0.36%
-2.69%
-0.92%
-3.35%
+4.23%
-3.32%
+4.96%
-15.06%
-3.07%
-29.54%
+25.29%
+15.27%
-2.76%
-5.81%
-3.14%
-10.65%
-0.73%
+7.76%
-7.07%
2019
+3.90%
+9.58%
-7.03%
+3.07%
-5.75%
+0.21%
+20.38%
-3.66%
-3.26%
-1.87%
+7.06%
-7.66%
2018
-12.29%
-16.24%
+36.69%
-9.46%
-6.14%
+3.44%
-4.27%
-8.76%
-4.71%
-27.19%
+24.28%
-2.94%
2017
-3.59%
+15.29%
-13.26%
-15.70%
-15.88%
+20.05%
-16.70%
-13.64%
-6.61%
-6.07%
+10.15%
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