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Election
70.24%
2016
72.72%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.07%
+5.41%
+0.16%
+1.96%
-0.92%
-1.61%
-4.50%
+3.26%
-6.50%
+2.93%
+1.74%
+3.37%
2026
-5.93%
+6.07%
-13.22%
+49.24%
-16.67%
-8.57%
-14.73%
+11.26%
+7.76%
--
2025
-6.31%
+7.93%
-12.90%
-9.39%
+21.79%
-14.57%
-9.46%
+5.97%
-10.74%
-8.09%
-1.29%
-1.09%
2024
-13.15%
-2.13%
-5.01%
-9.75%
-1.02%
+19.13%
-14.22%
+9.30%
-2.87%
+3.08%
-8.50%
-10.54%
2023
+2.73%
+15.14%
+4.28%
-13.79%
+19.29%
+0.78%
-9.97%
-6.40%
-4.44%
-12.48%
+18.67%
+0.56%
2022
-20.47%
-3.06%
+6.57%
+9.58%
-11.37%
-12.60%
+2.26%
+7.00%
-7.22%
-5.56%
+9.29%
+22.97%
2021
+6.62%
+6.59%
-1.10%
-15.44%
-20.86%
-2.86%
-25.11%
-15.77%
-17.95%
+24.78%
+0.18%
+10.02%
2020
-8.55%
+33.98%
+0.46%
+26.20%
+3.12%
+4.01%
+10.48%
+28.78%
+1.69%
+25.42%
-7.31%
-13.26%
2019
-1.73%
-3.34%
+1.15%
-6.38%
-0.48%
-4.26%
-0.50%
+1.80%
-9.23%
+16.43%
+32.24%
2018
+3.78%
-7.71%
+3.00%
-7.35%
-3.13%
+7.83%
-0.31%
-4.32%
-9.40%
-4.02%
-4.01%
-4.59%
2017
+2.28%
+0.61%
+18.41%
-3.36%
+0.13%
-5.00%
+16.52%
+4.11%
-9.34%
+12.50%
-7.83%
-5.97%
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