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Pre-election
73.40%
2008
71.47%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.65%
+3.74%
-2.56%
+0.16%
+5.39%
+5.23%
+1.02%
+0.04%
-4.99%
-5.01%
+3.18%
-0.93%
2026
-2.20%
+1.66%
-8.17%
+5.59%
+42.00%
-11.36%
+4.40%
+2.75%
+5.70%
--
2025
-9.36%
+8.53%
-9.24%
-7.29%
+1.80%
-4.19%
-9.58%
+1.30%
-9.45%
-0.71%
-5.61%
-6.81%
2024
+7.06%
+1.04%
-3.78%
-1.55%
+1.57%
+0.48%
-2.96%
-10.99%
+2.33%
-1.21%
-4.75%
+4.99%
2023
-4.40%
+13.40%
+2.86%
-12.41%
+8.48%
+8.91%
+8.63%
+5.78%
-7.32%
-18.53%
+11.37%
-6.38%
2022
-5.03%
+6.20%
+14.84%
+6.57%
-2.19%
+29.88%
+7.67%
+13.66%
-14.71%
-0.15%
+12.16%
+3.48%
2021
-9.17%
+5.12%
+2.98%
+6.31%
-2.84%
+6.49%
-6.09%
-0.64%
+3.07%
-3.11%
+3.08%
+1.37%
2020
-4.10%
+3.44%
-22.36%
+12.56%
+3.94%
+1.01%
+8.25%
+9.01%
-13.14%
-3.17%
-3.49%
2019
+3.85%
0.00%
-3.21%
+1.28%
+1.76%
+11.88%
+2.32%
-6.70%
+4.75%
+0.44%
-0.77%
-2.44%
2018
-0.10%
-6.57%
-0.76%
-2.18%
+0.56%
+8.31%
-2.66%
-5.15%
-10.85%
-19.63%
+14.37%
+5.41%
2017
-3.04%
+4.62%
+1.26%
-7.31%
-1.17%
+0.85%
+0.17%
-8.57%
+0.38%
+0.95%
-2.26%
-4.53%
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