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Election
79.82%
2024
89.04%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.95%
-6.44%
-4.82%
-7.37%
+2.46%
-1.88%
-4.40%
-9.35%
+12.67%
-4.72%
+8.14%
-2.84%
2026
-2.62%
-5.11%
-17.56%
-11.34%
-22.87%
0.00%
-45.73%
-18.52%
+2.27%
--
2025
-6.00%
-1.42%
+0.72%
-14.29%
+37.50%
+17.88%
+7.97%
-5.00%
+4.26%
-4.81%
-3.54%
-7.53%
-14.81%
-4.78%
-22.37%
-17.65%
-10.00%
-19.05%
-50.00%
+86.27%
-10.53%
+41.18%
+25.00%
2023
-7.45%
-9.58%
-22.67%
-5.48%
+28.99%
-11.24%
+8.61%
-2.33%
-3.34%
-7.90%
-7.77%
-15.12%
2022
+9.09%
-8.33%
-9.55%
-4.52%
-0.53%
-6.08%
-14.08%
+3.61%
-5.06%
-13.00%
+24.52%
-13.23%
2021
+0.84%
+1.67%
+15.57%
-6.38%
-5.30%
-9.60%
-2.65%
+6.36%
-7.69%
-9.44%
-10.02%
2020
-7.50%
+5.41%
-3.59%
-3.72%
+16.02%
-0.95%
+1.92%
+2.83%
+8.26%
+0.85%
2019
-0.25%
+3.16%
-1.84%
+20.63%
+1.04%
+2.56%
-1.00%
+5.05%
-3.85%
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