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Election
78.48%
2012
69.65%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.65%
-2.02%
-3.87%
+1.08%
-1.31%
+2.81%
+0.51%
-3.40%
-3.02%
-2.69%
+1.23%
-0.90%
2026
+4.68%
+17.32%
-10.00%
-4.76%
-0.83%
+12.04%
+0.75%
-0.25%
+1.00%
--
2025
+1.02%
0.00%
-6.87%
+0.43%
+4.75%
+0.62%
-6.76%
-5.49%
-6.98%
-6.75%
-3.49%
-5.00%
2024
-4.46%
+0.50%
-4.31%
+3.64%
+0.67%
+2.99%
-8.39%
-2.82%
-1.81%
-2.21%
-9.81%
+2.51%
2023
+7.20%
+0.27%
-2.60%
-0.14%
+0.42%
+3.36%
+7.58%
-12.45%
-13.65%
-3.99%
+9.36%
-0.48%
2022
-8.83%
-5.87%
-2.90%
+4.48%
-0.57%
-11.11%
+1.83%
+6.41%
2021
+11.31%
-12.52%
+31.99%
+7.53%
-2.73%
+3.66%
+5.18%
-2.38%
-1.33%
-2.25%
-11.49%
2020
-3.17%
-18.64%
-16.67%
-1.50%
+4.91%
+3.55%
+1.25%
-1.69%
-13.93%
-12.73%
+30.21%
-2.40%
2019
+11.11%
-0.51%
-23.66%
+7.17%
-7.47%
+15.80%
+9.14%
-14.10%
+6.81%
+3.19%
+1.40%
+26.59%
2018
-5.59%
-13.30%
-1.70%
-5.60%
-7.06%
-6.23%
+11.83%
+18.99%
-2.31%
+8.60%
-18.37%
2017
-10.28%
+0.64%
+15.54%
+5.98%
-4.33%
-11.35%
+3.14%
-9.37%
-3.16%
+0.07%
-27.67%
-5.83%
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