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Election
84.93%
2012
87.05%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.46%
-2.02%
-6.12%
+3.16%
+5.92%
-2.01%
+1.15%
-1.28%
-5.15%
-1.82%
+5.01%
+3.21%
2026
+2.23%
+8.52%
-2.63%
-3.00%
+3.85%
-14.34%
+4.90%
+1.63%
-6.52%
--
2025
+2.70%
-5.05%
+2.44%
+4.65%
+2.17%
+3.49%
-7.78%
-1.38%
-0.43%
+0.11%
-0.11%
+1.73%
2024
-11.57%
-5.92%
+1.17%
-0.42%
+8.99%
+7.28%
+9.73%
-5.36%
-4.79%
-6.64%
-4.80%
-4.74%
2023
-0.73%
-0.65%
-10.62%
+6.12%
-1.22%
+3.47%
+5.98%
-4.51%
-13.57%
-6.24%
+9.22%
+20.46%
2022
+13.96%
+0.73%
-0.54%
-5.87%
+40.32%
+0.55%
-3.78%
+11.42%
-2.85%
-6.17%
-1.91%
+3.95%
2021
-4.17%
+0.57%
+8.09%
+1.16%
+2.97%
+0.10%
-2.22%
-9.93%
-0.34%
-19.93%
+4.10%
2020
-6.74%
-10.23%
-52.70%
+25.82%
-0.23%
-4.47%
+0.16%
-0.72%
-15.00%
+2.19%
+61.34%
+5.50%
2019
+7.19%
-3.99%
+3.61%
-1.01%
-0.38%
-8.81%
+0.58%
-3.52%
+9.79%
+3.60%
-2.15%
+0.69%
2018
-6.88%
-5.95%
+0.20%
0.00%
+5.03%
-3.33%
-0.30%
-2.48%
-5.23%
-1.71%
+0.66%
-8.14%
2017
-0.58%
+1.74%
-2.04%
-2.75%
-0.49%
-6.96%
+1.94%
-5.70%
-4.33%
-1.15%
+2.81%
+5.30%
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