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Election
73.14%
2008
72.63%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.58%
+0.38%
-3.06%
-1.76%
+1.98%
-0.14%
-1.07%
-1.23%
-1.83%
+4.19%
+1.22%
+7.19%
2026
-2.54%
-17.83%
-32.28%
+16.41%
+4.70%
-8.97%
-0.70%
+0.71%
-5.63%
--
2025
+4.85%
-6.41%
-1.52%
-1.16%
0.00%
+2.34%
+2.29%
-1.49%
-7.58%
-3.28%
2024
-0.87%
-1.17%
-9.47%
-3.59%
+4.41%
-6.17%
-8.65%
-0.76%
-1.53%
+8.53%
-1.43%
-2.90%
2023
+11.04%
+23.10%
+8.55%
-32.82%
-14.98%
-16.86%
-11.98%
-8.12%
-5.98%
-6.67%
+2.60%
+9.18%
2022
-30.05%
-4.44%
+17.83%
-4.93%
+1.38%
+4.10%
-4.59%
-14.78%
+19.35%
+12.84%
-7.78%
2021
-10.29%
+33.33%
+6.56%
+3.85%
+14.07%
+23.38%
+7.37%
+4.90%
+25.23%
+5.22%
+2.13%
+34.03%
2020
+12.88%
-8.72%
-12.50%
+15.13%
+5.84%
-1.38%
+2.10%
-4.11%
+4.35%
+41.67%
2019
+22.76%
-11.24%
+4.43%
-0.61%
-3.66%
-1.90%
-10.97%
-0.72%
-5.84%
+2.33%
2018
+8.11%
-2.59%
-14.60%
-5.70%
-6.04%
-4.68%
+0.61%
-5.49%
+5.16%
-6.13%
-5.23%
2017
-0.13%
-0.25%
+2.39%
-4.18%
+14.10%
+6.85%
+2.84%
+3.78%
-7.59%
+7.57%
+10.01%
-3.33%
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