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Election
87.24%
2020
73.09%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.75%
-0.58%
-2.34%
-3.10%
-8.06%
+3.73%
-2.20%
-2.51%
-7.34%
+4.39%
+13.03%
+6.67%
2026
-0.90%
+0.91%
-4.50%
-13.68%
-2.19%
-3.91%
0.00%
+27.91%
--
2025
-1.92%
-3.92%
+11.22%
-4.59%
-0.96%
+10.68%
-7.02%
+1.89%
+6.48%
-1.74%
+2.65%
-4.31%
2024
-3.70%
-10.00%
-2.56%
+2.63%
+0.85%
-5.08%
-3.57%
+1.85%
-1.82%
2023
-3.63%
+2.74%
-10.33%
+2.60%
-15.94%
+12.07%
+5.38%
+8.03%
-11.49%
-5.34%
+6.45%
+2.27%
2022
-12.86%
-5.74%
-15.22%
-12.11%
-11.16%
-15.51%
+2.22%
-25.70%
-0.83%
+39.08%
-8.46%
2021
+38.63%
-5.13%
+33.33%
+2.70%
-11.84%
+32.09%
-22.03%
-6.52%
-2.33%
+7.94%
-2.21%
+5.26%
+10.53%
+20.24%
-26.24%
+0.67%
-16.67%
+3.20%
+58.14%
-4.90%
+20.62%
+73.73%
+2.93%
2019
-6.55%
+10.83%
-2.30%
+7.06%
-39.01%
-8.11%
-4.41%
+12.82%
-27.27%
+26.25%
-1.49%
+52.76%
2018
-0.70%
-15.26%
-6.83%
+5.33%
+4.81%
-26.33%
-51.48%
-35.81%
+1.58%
-9.33%
-4.00%
2017
-11.45%
-9.09%
+2.41%
-1.18%
+10.12%
-3.24%
-5.14%
-15.08%
+13.04%
+8.96%
+10.25%
+17.26%
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