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Election
86.93%
2008
78.72%
Probability %
Average return %
+5.17%
-0.79%
-6.61%
+10.81%
+6.36%
-0.02%
+2.88%
+2.64%
-5.01%
-7.21%
+0.33%
+4.90%
2026
-23.13%
-6.79%
-22.93%
+15.51%
+6.17%
-3.62%
-1.97%
+6.94%
-14.06%
--
2025
+27.54%
-7.42%
-20.96%
+30.02%
-3.92%
+3.06%
-7.13%
-23.88%
-3.50%
-6.10%
-3.71%
+3.05%
2024
+12.16%
-2.92%
+22.49%
+5.43%
+17.78%
+2.19%
-8.02%
-3.05%
+10.72%
-27.22%
-9.67%
-13.44%
2023
+28.03%
+14.92%
-11.37%
+14.25%
+2.21%
+12.81%
+13.51%
-9.43%
-25.41%
-10.29%
+18.16%
+30.00%
2022
-23.68%
-4.21%
-7.82%
-23.05%
-4.45%
-25.32%
+6.93%
-3.56%
-53.31%
+8.73%
+5.15%
-6.44%
2021
+9.13%
+3.38%
-22.20%
+10.84%
-9.42%
+16.51%
+15.16%
-0.34%
-8.83%
-9.54%
+6.28%
2020
+1.43%
-5.48%
-11.42%
+20.93%
+23.65%
-1.50%
+1.40%
+25.91%
+6.16%
-15.82%
-1.89%
+16.78%
2019
+23.08%
-8.11%
+6.80%
+1.79%
+4.17%
+26.71%
-0.21%
-0.62%
-4.19%
+21.88%
+4.85%
+7.88%
2018
-11.94%
+3.44%
+3.02%
+17.30%
-3.25%
+3.36%
+5.13%
+12.01%
+5.20%
-10.70%
-4.75%
-12.10%
2017
+9.08%
+5.29%
-1.70%
+15.06%
+30.69%
-14.02%
+6.87%
+19.56%
-16.53%
+4.39%
+12.07%
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