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Election
68.32%
2012
66.42%
Probability %
Average return %
+5.86%
-7.79%
-3.32%
-5.10%
-3.26%
-3.56%
+2.08%
-6.47%
-7.94%
-7.55%
-2.93%
+5.60%
2026
-3.14%
-30.22%
-11.86%
+5.56%
-10.80%
-21.12%
-1.57%
+0.40%
-13.94%
--
2025
+11.87%
-0.90%
-11.39%
-4.11%
+12.06%
+0.24%
-5.73%
-13.92%
-9.71%
-24.10%
-9.44%
+36.02%
2024
-8.45%
-14.62%
+8.11%
-1.67%
-8.47%
-14.26%
-1.08%
+2.18%
-10.26%
-0.48%
-7.18%
+2.06%
2023
+34.12%
-4.53%
-7.12%
-17.61%
-21.72%
-3.96%
-12.84%
-14.74%
-9.26%
-12.93%
+3.13%
+7.58%
2022
-1.70%
-2.60%
+0.22%
-2.66%
-8.20%
+1.49%
-4.39%
-23.47%
+7.33%
+0.31%
-8.36%
2021
+1.98%
+2.33%
0.00%
-0.76%
-1.53%
+3.89%
-0.37%
-4.51%
-5.71%
+0.84%
-9.94%
+8.05%
2020
+7.75%
-11.17%
-21.68%
-1.85%
+12.41%
+3.68%
-4.84%
-2.71%
-20.62%
+15.40%
2019
+16.00%
+10.78%
+7.13%
-14.16%
+7.98%
+6.02%
-10.97%
+2.03%
-2.41%
+5.24%
2018
-9.79%
-20.76%
-11.10%
-5.40%
-13.32%
+2.19%
+28.86%
-13.54%
-11.08%
-1.22%
-10.84%
-7.69%
2017
+10.01%
-6.17%
+14.51%
-8.30%
+11.52%
-15.72%
-2.47%
+2.53%
-18.82%
-5.36%
+7.12%
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