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Election
81.24%
2020
78.96%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.70%
-2.00%
-6.80%
+4.91%
+4.38%
-3.39%
-1.96%
+3.40%
-2.09%
-6.48%
+8.17%
+3.78%
2026
-1.63%
+4.15%
-18.73%
+5.88%
+12.96%
+8.20%
-6.44%
+4.05%
-7.39%
--
2025
+5.56%
+1.75%
+6.55%
0.00%
+1.94%
-4.76%
-6.00%
-2.84%
+1.46%
-6.47%
-3.85%
2024
-12.63%
-16.22%
-9.15%
+14.34%
+13.90%
-5.95%
-4.11%
+3.63%
-5.41%
-3.37%
-3.14%
-2.88%
2023
+2.67%
-1.49%
-15.47%
-2.23%
-4.57%
-7.18%
+1.80%
-7.85%
-10.71%
-11.38%
+5.21%
+28.05%
2022
+1.97%
-9.94%
-4.29%
+2.88%
-14.02%
-10.87%
+1.63%
+8.80%
-20.96%
-7.21%
+22.31%
+7.38%
2021
-6.64%
+18.97%
-5.65%
+10.56%
+9.87%
-0.29%
-5.32%
-1.78%
-1.20%
+7.32%
+0.85%
+11.21%
-24.52%
-27.44%
+11.94%
+8.89%
-11.02%
-18.35%
+1.12%
+1.39%
+9.04%
+29.15%
+5.45%
2019
+18.89%
+3.88%
+22.39%
-0.61%
+6.75%
+0.57%
-6.86%
+13.50%
-3.51%
-22.69%
+14.86%
+4.10%
2018
+9.91%
-12.76%
+1.58%
-6.61%
-9.17%
-0.46%
+19.35%
-3.86%
-8.84%
-4.41%
2017
+7.71%
+1.68%
-3.43%
+4.80%
+14.73%
+6.56%
+15.38%
-0.44%
+24.55%
-6.24%
-2.52%
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