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Election
83.81%
2012
82.30%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.01%
+1.52%
-3.96%
+1.46%
+0.91%
-2.46%
+0.87%
-0.32%
+0.05%
+0.27%
+3.50%
+0.47%
2026
-4.97%
+2.67%
-12.86%
+1.86%
+5.15%
-9.72%
+4.76%
+2.61%
-4.49%
--
2025
+4.93%
+2.53%
-11.17%
-0.94%
+6.42%
-4.72%
-0.83%
+5.12%
-2.48%
-1.69%
+3.58%
+2.68%
2024
-0.80%
+12.90%
+3.16%
-6.55%
+0.02%
-5.44%
-4.50%
+1.22%
-6.91%
-2.78%
-4.64%
+4.72%
2023
+10.83%
+6.77%
-1.23%
-1.68%
+1.14%
+8.49%
-7.26%
-1.06%
-8.32%
+10.67%
+3.20%
2022
+0.60%
-5.29%
-8.56%
-1.81%
+5.01%
-13.27%
+9.78%
-4.07%
-8.40%
+9.39%
+8.01%
-6.19%
2021
-1.42%
+6.44%
+17.56%
-4.63%
+5.59%
-0.76%
-1.48%
-1.64%
+0.04%
-6.50%
+4.26%
2020
-10.53%
-8.60%
-25.96%
+14.32%
+4.55%
-2.89%
+11.17%
+2.50%
-3.24%
+22.60%
+5.10%
2019
+12.29%
+1.47%
-3.20%
+9.76%
-11.99%
+7.05%
-1.57%
-5.97%
+6.27%
+6.86%
+1.13%
-1.77%
2018
+8.15%
-5.01%
-0.35%
+1.70%
-2.60%
-9.16%
+4.03%
-5.76%
-0.31%
-7.21%
-3.99%
-7.75%
2017
+1.06%
+1.33%
+3.05%
+2.56%
-4.20%
-2.04%
-1.11%
+1.38%
+10.82%
+3.03%
+0.62%
-0.04%
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