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Election
74.26%
2020
85.21%
Probability %
Average return %
+5.26%
-2.84%
+3.17%
+2.61%
-0.79%
+2.59%
-0.69%
+3.83%
-2.85%
+1.33%
+0.29%
+0.40%
2026
-3.10%
+13.64%
-5.55%
-7.14%
-3.79%
+0.71%
-4.04%
-0.94%
-5.00%
--
2025
+6.11%
-16.45%
+2.15%
-0.82%
-2.40%
-0.57%
+11.36%
+28.55%
+5.92%
+15.36%
-17.30%
+9.02%
2024
-4.35%
+7.30%
+14.85%
-11.76%
-9.90%
-1.36%
+11.48%
+17.91%
-11.32%
+9.27%
+7.34%
-1.12%
2023
+14.97%
-8.34%
-3.62%
+1.74%
-10.09%
-9.29%
+2.10%
+3.75%
-13.41%
-13.49%
+14.26%
+6.20%
2022
+5.80%
+3.57%
+1.16%
-13.68%
-0.11%
+3.77%
+9.79%
+7.81%
-1.11%
+1.24%
+7.15%
-2.86%
2021
+16.81%
-8.57%
-2.57%
+16.31%
-1.97%
+3.15%
-14.49%
+4.56%
-3.12%
+11.92%
-2.70%
-3.58%
-21.34%
0.00%
+30.07%
+3.08%
-1.53%
-6.25%
-1.24%
-5.23%
-11.90%
+16.01%
+18.12%
2019
+14.78%
+7.11%
-14.20%
+4.82%
-18.24%
+10.19%
+0.85%
-19.00%
+1.66%
+1.13%
-15.87%
+1.45%
2018
-2.01%
-0.38%
+17.74%
+2.40%
+20.15%
+6.21%
-11.53%
-16.34%
+13.66%
-5.54%
-0.29%
-29.95%
2017
+7.13%
-4.99%
+21.79%
+4.15%
+15.34%
+14.63%
-6.15%
+13.23%
-12.66%
+4.00%
-9.13%
+5.42%
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